SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Estudiantes |
47.62% ( 0.05) | 27.7% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.97% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.21% ( -0.01) | 60.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% ( -0.01) | 80.83% ( 0.01) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.02) | 25.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( 0.03) | 60.55% ( -0.03) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.05) | 40.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.57% ( -0.04) | 77.42% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 47.61% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.26% Total : 24.68% |
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