SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.61%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for Union had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (6.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.03%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Union |
41.61% ( -0.38) | 32.71% ( 0.46) | 25.68% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 33.62% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.13% ( -1.06) | 73.86% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.39% ( -0.63) | 89.61% ( 0.63) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( -0.84) | 35.69% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( -0.88) | 72.46% ( 0.88) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.75) | 47.73% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.97% ( -0.56) | 83.03% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 17.55% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.93% Total : 41.61% | 0-0 @ 17.03% ( 0.67) 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.22% Total : 32.7% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.29% Total : 25.67% |
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