SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.54%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Independiente |
43.07% ( 0.79) | 30.96% ( 0.39) | 25.97% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 37.28% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.39% ( -1.44) | 69.61% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.02% ( -0.94) | 86.99% ( 0.94) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( -0.31) | 32.44% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( -0.35) | 68.96% ( 0.35) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.18% ( -1.91) | 44.83% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.21% ( -1.58) | 80.79% ( 1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 16.37% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.07% | 0-0 @ 14.54% ( 0.75) 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.32% Total : 30.95% | 0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
