SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 1-0 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | River Plate |
21.25% ( -0.04) | 24.97% ( -0.05) | 53.78% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.94% ( 0.12) | 54.06% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.51% ( 0.1) | 75.49% ( -0.11) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.62% ( 0.03) | 40.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23% ( 0.03) | 76.99% ( -0.03) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.08) | 20.08% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( 0.13) | 52.31% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.35% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.25% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.77% |
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