SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 34.42%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 32.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.9%) and 1-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (14.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Rosario Central |
33.05% ( 0.22) | 32.52% ( 0.05) | 34.42% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 36.01% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.83% ( -0.12) | 72.17% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.41% ( -0.08) | 88.59% ( 0.08) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.5% ( 0.09) | 40.49% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.9% ( 0.08) | 77.1% ( -0.08) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( -0.27) | 39.49% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% ( -0.25) | 76.18% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 33.05% | 0-0 @ 15.99% ( 0.08) 1-1 @ 13.43% 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 32.52% | 0-1 @ 14.85% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 34.42% |
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