SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Rosario Central |
50.61% ( 0.79) | 28.2% ( 0.01) | 21.18% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 39.42% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.64) | 64.77% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.26% ( -0.45) | 83.73% ( 0.45) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% ( 0.08) | 26.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% ( 0.11) | 61.09% ( -0.12) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.31% ( -1.24) | 46.69% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.75% ( -0.96) | 82.25% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.35% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 50.6% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.44% Total : 21.18% |
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