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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.55%) and 1-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (12.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
31.72% ( 0.2) | 30.63% ( 0.1) | 37.65% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 40.22% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.77% ( -0.26) | 67.23% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.58% ( -0.17) | 85.42% ( 0.17) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.38% ( 0) | 38.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.63% ( 0) | 75.37% |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( -0.33) | 34.48% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% ( -0.35) | 71.19% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 31.71% | 1-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.63% | 0-1 @ 14.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.65% |
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