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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
Oct 6, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
SL

Instituto
2 - 0
San Lorenzo

Requena (39'), Russo (86')
Puebla (16'), Bay (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

de Jesus Baez Sotelo (22'), Ezequiel Herrera (50')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Instituto
Saturday, September 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-1 Banfield
Saturday, September 28 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.82%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.

Result
InstitutoDrawSan Lorenzo
41.26% (-0.27 -0.27) 31.99% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 26.75% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 35.53% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.1% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)71.9% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.57% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)88.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.209 -0.21)34.78% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.221 -0.22)71.51% (0.221 0.22)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.48% (0.14299999999999 0.14)45.51% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.66% (0.111 0.11)81.34% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 41.25%
    San Lorenzo 26.74%
    Draw 31.98%
InstitutoDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 16.71% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 41.25%
0-0 @ 15.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 31.98%
0-1 @ 12.45% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 26.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Instituto
Saturday, September 28 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 0-1 Barracas Central
Saturday, September 21 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-1 Instituto
Friday, September 13 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-2 Instituto
Monday, September 2 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 4-1 Defensa
Saturday, August 24 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, August 18 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-1 Banfield
Saturday, September 28 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, September 22 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-2 San Lorenzo
Sunday, September 1 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Talleres
Sunday, August 25 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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