SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 38.24%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 30.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.28%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
30.52% ( -0.05) | 31.25% ( 0.22) | 38.24% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 38.5% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.87% ( -0.6) | 69.13% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.33% ( -0.39) | 86.67% ( 0.39) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.35% ( -0.39) | 40.65% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( -0.35) | 77.24% ( 0.35) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% ( -0.44) | 35.13% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.12% ( -0.46) | 71.88% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.32% Total : 30.51% | 0-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.31) 1-1 @ 13.44% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.24% | 0-1 @ 14.94% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.24% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
