SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
42.2% ( 1.41) | 25.78% ( 0.01) | 32.01% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.43) | 50% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( -0.38) | 71.98% ( 0.38) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.51) | 23.52% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( 0.74) | 57.56% ( -0.74) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -1.13) | 29.33% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% ( -1.4) | 65.3% ( 1.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 42.2% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.01% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
