SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for BW Linz had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a BW Linz win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | BW Linz |
| 58.04% | 21.05% ( -0.07) | 20.9% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.27% ( 0.39) | 37.72% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.03% ( 0.42) | 59.96% ( -0.44) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( 0.12) | 12.81% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.86% ( 0.26) | 39.13% ( -0.27) |
| BW Linz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( 0.28) | 31.42% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( 0.33) | 67.79% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | BW Linz |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 58.04% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 20.9% |
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