SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Honka had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Honka win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | Honka |
49.38% ( -0.94) | 26.29% ( 0.87) | 24.33% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( -2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.83% ( -3.22) | 56.17% ( 3.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% ( -2.67) | 77.23% ( 2.67) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -1.74) | 22.8% ( 1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.49% ( -2.64) | 56.51% ( 2.64) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.42% ( -1.73) | 38.57% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.68% ( -1.69) | 75.32% ( 1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 0.91) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.37)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.8% Total : 49.38% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 1.03)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.33% |
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