SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Lahti |
46.02% ( -0.07) | 25.57% ( 0.05) | 28.41% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% ( -0.2) | 50.69% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( -0.18) | 72.59% ( 0.17) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -0.11) | 22.01% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( -0.17) | 55.33% ( 0.17) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( -0.09) | 32.22% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( -0.1) | 68.71% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.41% |
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