Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
