SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Honka |
32.57% ( 0.39) | 27.58% ( 0.39) | 39.84% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 48.6% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( -1.4) | 57.04% ( 1.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( -1.13) | 77.93% ( 1.13) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( -0.44) | 32.51% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( -0.51) | 69.04% ( 0.5) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -1.09) | 27.98% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( -1.42) | 63.62% ( 1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.57% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.84% |
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