SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | KuPS |
37.96% ( 0.09) | 27.64% ( 0.01) | 34.4% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( -0.05) | 56.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.13% ( -0.04) | 77.87% ( 0.05) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.03) | 29.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( 0.04) | 64.93% ( -0.03) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( -0.1) | 31.24% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( -0.11) | 67.59% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.4% |
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