Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Honka	Draw	KuPS
37.96% ( 0.09)	27.64% ( 0.01)	34.4% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 48.8% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.04% (

-0.05)

56.96% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.13% (

-0.04)

77.87% (

0.05)

Honka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.97% (

0.03)

29.03% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07% (

0.04)

64.93% (

-0.03)

KuPS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76% (

-0.1)

31.24% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.41% (

-0.11)

67.59% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Honka 37.95%

KuPS 34.4%

Draw 27.64%

Honka	Draw	KuPS
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.95%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.64%	0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.4%