SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
59.16% ( -0.02) | 22.76% ( -0) | 18.08% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( 0.04) | 49.42% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( 0.04) | 71.46% ( -0.04) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( 0.01) | 16.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.02% ( 0.02) | 45.98% ( -0.02) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( 0.05) | 41.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( 0.04) | 77.71% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 59.15% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.76% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 18.08% |
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