Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 1pm UK
Bahcelievler Il Ozel Idare Stadyumu
We said: Istanbulspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
While Fenerbahce's undeniable firepower and defensive resolve make them clear favorites, Istanbulspor should not be underestimated. Spurred by the derby atmosphere, they might put up a spirited fight.
However, the gap in quality may ultimately prove too much, with Fenerbahce likely to come away with the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-3 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
10.24% ( -0) | 16.14% ( -0) | 73.62% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0) |
| 62.95% ( 0.01) | 37.05% ( -0.01) |
| 40.76% ( 0.01) | 59.24% ( -0.01) |
| 55.01% ( 0) | 44.99% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.07% ( -0) | 80.93% ( 0) |
| 91.34% ( 0) | 8.66% ( -0) |
