Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 34
May 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski
FT(HT: 3-0)
Zreľak (44'), Kupczak (60'),
Savic (79')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Warta Poznan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
Result |
Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Warta Poznan |
58.22% ( -0.02) | 21.89% ( 0.01) | 19.88% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.02) |
56.91% ( -0.02) | 43.09% ( 0.03) |
34.51% ( -0.03) | 65.49% ( 0.02) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
85.49% ( -0.01) | 14.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.48% ( -0.02) | 42.52% ( 0.02) |
64.49% ( -0.01) | 35.51% ( 0.01) |