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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 34
May 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 0
Warta Poznan

Nene (5'), Romanczuk (11'), Imaz (26')
Dieguez (61'), Sacek (76'), Nguiamba (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Zreľak (44'), Kupczak (60'), Savic (79')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Warta Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-1 Legia
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawWarta Poznan
58.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 21.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 19.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)43.09% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.49% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)14.51% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)42.52% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)72.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 58.22%
    Warta Poznan 19.88%
    Draw 21.89%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawWarta Poznan
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 58.22%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.89%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 19.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-2 Szczecin
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, April 20 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-3 Cracovia
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-1 Legia
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Warta Poznan
Sunday, May 12 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, May 5 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-0 Warta Poznan
Friday, April 26 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 5-2 Stal Mielec
Monday, April 22 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-0 Korona Kielce
Friday, April 12 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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