SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.8%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Cuba |
71.6% ( -0.56) | 18.52% ( 0.29) | 9.88% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 40.77% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( -0.42) | 48.92% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( -0.39) | 71.01% ( 0.39) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.66% ( -0.28) | 12.34% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.84% ( -0.59) | 38.16% ( 0.59) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.51% ( 0.3) | 53.49% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.04% ( 0.19) | 86.95% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Cuba |
| 2-0 @ 14.44% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 71.58% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.45% Total : 18.52% | 0-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.88% |
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