SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 13.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Cuba |
66.37% ( -0.64) | 20.49% ( 0.13) | 13.14% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 45.05% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( 0.56) | 49.03% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( 0.5) | 71.11% ( -0.51) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.09% ( -0.02) | 13.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.66% ( -0.04) | 41.34% ( 0.03) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.32% ( 1.16) | 47.67% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.01% ( 0.85) | 82.99% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Cuba |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.31)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.36% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.49% | 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.14% |
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