SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cuba | Draw | Honduras |
54.94% ( -0.63) | 24.55% ( 0.25) | 20.5% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.69% ( -0.5) | 53.31% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.14% ( -0.43) | 74.85% ( 0.43) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( -0.44) | 19.33% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.91% ( -0.72) | 51.09% ( 0.72) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( 0.12) | 40.73% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( 0.11) | 77.31% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuba | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.93% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.5% |
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