SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Club Tijuana |
39.04% ( 0.1) | 23.9% ( 0.24) | 37.07% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 61.85% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.63% ( -1.21) | 40.37% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.26% ( -1.25) | 62.74% ( 1.25) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -0.48) | 20.87% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( -0.75) | 53.57% ( 0.75) |
| Club Tijuana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( -0.71) | 21.84% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.93% ( -1.09) | 55.07% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juarez | Draw | Club Tijuana |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.07% |
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