Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18.79% ( -0.6)	22.07% ( -0.23)	59.15% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.55% (

0.13)

45.45% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

0.12)

67.78% (

-0.12)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96% (

-0.57)

38.04% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19% (

-0.56)

74.81% (

0.56)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

0.31)

15.01% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.53% (

0.59)

43.47% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 18.79%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.13%

Draw 22.06%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.37% Total : 18.79%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.06%	0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.26% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 59.13%