Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
32.94%	28.65%	38.41%

Both teams to score 45.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.19%

60.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.15%

80.85%

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78%

34.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08%

70.91%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34%

30.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.1%

66.9%

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 32.93%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 38.41%

Draw 28.64%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.93%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.41%