Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
-5.46) 
5.48) 
