Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 81.73%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 5.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 1-0 (12.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
0.25) 
-0.14) 
