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Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
3 - 1
Juventude

Romero (29'), Freitas (82' og.)
Garro (14'), Fagner (38'), Souza (43'), Romero (90+10'), Romero (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Souza (41' og.)
Ventura (15'), Marcos (45'), Carrillo (62'), Ronaldo (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Juventude
Friday, September 6 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 1-0 Juventude (Corinthians advances on penalties)

Corinthians have been in this position many times recently at this tournament, and that experience should allow them to maintain their composure against a Juve side in unfamiliar territory at the Copa do Brasil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawJuventude
55.41% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 23.59% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)48.91% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)17.5% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)48% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)37.69% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)74.47% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 55.39%
    Juventude 21%
    Draw 23.58%
CorinthiansDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 55.39%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Corinthians
Friday, August 30 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Corinthians
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-2 Bragantino (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 0-0 Corinthians
Sunday, August 18 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Juventude
Friday, September 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-3 Internacional
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Corinthians
Friday, August 30 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-1 Juventude
Saturday, August 24 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Juventude
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Juventude
Wednesday, August 14 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro


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