SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Juventus win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
21.09% ( -2.23) | 22.96% ( -1.13) | 55.94% ( 3.35) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( 2.33) | 46.18% ( -2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% ( 2.16) | 68.47% ( -2.16) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% ( -0.8) | 36.05% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% ( -0.83) | 72.83% ( 0.82) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( 2.08) | 16.33% ( -2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.07% ( 3.64) | 45.92% ( -3.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.09% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.6)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.49)0-3 @ 5.84% ( 0.6)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.39)0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.43)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.17)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.2)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.25% Total : 55.93% |
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