SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
8.1% ( -0.59) | 12.77% ( -0.4) | 79.12% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.1% ( -0.15) | 26.9% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.63% ( -0.19) | 47.36% ( 0.19) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% ( -1.41) | 41.96% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.6% ( -1.25) | 78.4% ( 1.25) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.66% ( 0.14) | 5.33% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.02% ( 0.39) | 20.97% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.63% Total : 8.1% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.77% | 0-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 9.39% ( 0.32)1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 6.88% ( 0.29)0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 4.03% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.15)1-5 @ 3.5% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.09)0-6 @ 1.97% ( 0.12)1-6 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 5.31% Total : 79.12% |
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