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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.13%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 3.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 0-4 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
3.53% ( -1.49) | 8.33% ( -1.73) | 88.13% ( 3.21) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( -4.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.93) | 25.34% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.63% ( 1.19) | 45.36% ( -1.2) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.3% ( -5.5) | 55.7% ( 5.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.7% ( -3.5) | 88.29% ( 3.49) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.35% ( 0.64) | 3.64% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.29% ( 2.08) | 15.7% ( -2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.46)Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.53% | 1-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.74) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.63)Other @ 0.47% Total : 8.33% | 0-3 @ 12.28% ( 1.08) 0-2 @ 11.12% ( 0.45)0-4 @ 10.17% ( 1.35)1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.53)0-5 @ 6.74% ( 1.19)0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.84)1-4 @ 5.96% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 3.95% ( 0.12)0-6 @ 3.72% ( 0.81)1-6 @ 2.18% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.56)0-7 @ 1.76% ( 0.45)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.35)2-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.17)1-7 @ 1.03% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.77% Total : 88.11% |
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