SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
73.68% ( 0.01) | 14.96% ( -0.01) | 11.36% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.66% ( 0.03) | 27.34% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.09% ( 0.03) | 47.91% ( -0.04) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.63% ( 0) | 6.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.1% ( 0.02) | 23.9% ( -0.02) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% ( 0.01) | 36.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.11% ( 0.01) | 72.89% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 8% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.09% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.86% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.58% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.42% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 73.68% | 1-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 2.3% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 14.96% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.36% |
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