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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
71.14% ( 0.3) | 16.1% ( 0) | 12.75% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.66% ( -0.82) | 29.34% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.61% ( -1.01) | 50.39% ( 1.01) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.69% ( -0.14) | 7.31% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.57% ( -0.36) | 26.43% ( 0.37) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% ( -1.01) | 35.43% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.81% ( -1.06) | 72.19% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.2)1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.29% Total : 71.14% | 1-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.27% Total : 16.1% | 1-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 12.75% |
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