Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 56.12%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 0-1 (7.95%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.