Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
-1.12) 
1.24) 
