SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | St Pauli |
35.59% ( -0.23) | 23.35% ( 0.16) | 41.05% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 63.71% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.13% ( -0.83) | 37.87% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.88% ( -0.89) | 60.12% ( 0.89) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( -0.49) | 21.46% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.51% ( -0.77) | 54.49% ( 0.77) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( -0.31) | 18.88% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.64% ( -0.53) | 50.36% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 8% 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.05% |
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