SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | St Pauli |
40.85% ( -0.16) | 24.12% ( -0.02) | 35.03% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.7% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% ( 0.12) | 41.74% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.85% ( 0.12) | 64.14% ( -0.12) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( -0.03) | 20.61% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% ( -0.04) | 53.16% ( 0.04) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( 0.15) | 23.54% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.41% ( 0.22) | 57.59% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.03% |
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