SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Karlsruher SC win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
55.69% ( -0.04) | 22.75% ( 0.01) | 21.56% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.33% ( -0.02) | 44.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.97% ( -0.02) | 67.03% ( 0.03) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( -0.02) | 15.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.89% ( -0.04) | 45.11% ( 0.04) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( 0.02) | 34.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.52% ( 0.02) | 71.48% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.69% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.56% |
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