SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Karpaty Lviv in this match.
| Result | ||
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
52.24% ( 0.52) | 25.36% ( -0.09) | 22.4% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 47.99% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.64% ( -0.09) | 54.36% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( -0.07) | 75.74% ( 0.07) |
| Karpaty Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.18) | 20.82% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.5% ( 0.29) | 53.5% ( -0.29) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.61% ( -0.48) | 39.39% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.91% ( -0.45) | 76.08% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Karpaty Lviv | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.4% |
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