SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chornomorets Odesa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
41.43% ( 1.25) | 26.6% ( -0.4) | 31.98% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.62% ( 1.39) | 53.38% ( -1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% ( 1.16) | 74.92% ( -1.16) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( 1.31) | 25.42% ( -1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( 1.76) | 60.24% ( -1.76) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( 0.13) | 31.05% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( 0.15) | 67.36% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.98% |
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