This should be one of the matches of the season in terms of competitiveness, both teams bringing numerous qualities to the table. The defensive record of Osaka suggests that they could keep things tight, yet we are backing the home side to earn a share of the spoils come the full-time whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.06) 
-0.04) 
