Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
-0.24) 
0.03) 
