Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.09) 
