Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.