Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
