SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
41.78% ( 0.07) | 25.16% ( 0.02) | 33.05% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.47% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% ( -0.09) | 47.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( -0.09) | 69.26% ( 0.09) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( -0.01) | 22.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.04% ( -0.01) | 55.96% ( 0.01) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.1) | 27.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( -0.13) | 62.61% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.05% |
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