SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Khimki win it was 2-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
16.47% ( 0.11) | 19.19% ( 0.04) | 64.34% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.75% ( 0.03) | 36.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.63% ( 0.03) | 58.37% ( -0.03) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.84% ( 0.15) | 35.16% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.09% ( 0.15) | 71.91% ( -0.15) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.35% ( -0.03) | 10.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.5% ( -0.07) | 34.5% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 16.47% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.93% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 64.34% |
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