Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Krasnodar | Draw | Khimki |
61.7% ( -0.7) | 22.09% ( 0.31) | 16.21% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 47.6% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% ( -0.57) | 49.63% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.35% ( -0.51) | 71.65% ( 0.51) |
FC Krasnodar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.42% ( -0.42) | 15.58% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.45% ( -0.78) | 44.55% ( 0.78) |
Khimki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.38% ( 0.18) | 43.62% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.19% ( 0.15) | 79.81% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
FC Krasnodar | Draw | Khimki |
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.1% Total : 61.69% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.57% Total : 16.21% |
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