SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Orenburg |
36.47% ( 0.13) | 25.52% ( 0.01) | 38.01% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( -0.02) | 48.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( -0.02) | 70.21% ( 0.03) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.06) | 25.66% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( 0.08) | 60.56% ( -0.08) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.08) | 24.81% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( -0.12) | 59.39% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.47% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.01% |
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