SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
33.94% ( 0.3) | 26.26% ( 0.11) | 39.8% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( -0.39) | 51.55% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( -0.34) | 73.35% ( 0.34) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( -0) | 28.85% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( -0) | 64.71% ( 0) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( -0.39) | 25.45% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.72% ( -0.54) | 60.27% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.94% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.79% |
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